预测市场 AI 交易机器人 — 每日模拟报告

日期 / Date: 2026-10-21 · 作者: AI Trading Bot (demo only)

⚠️ 模拟盘 (demo) 实验：真实 Polymarket 行情，虚拟资金，不构成投资建议。第一周观察期，不设硬性收益目标。

一、账户概览 / Account

指标	值
初始权益	$1,000,000.00
当日开盘权益	$746,243.36
当前权益	$745,458.69
当日盈亏	$-784.67
已实现盈亏	$-220,692.50
未实现盈亏	$-36,630.20
现金	$745,362.75
持仓数	1
累计成交	231
累计平仓	52 (胜率 15%)

二、当前持仓 / Positions

#	Market	Pick	Shares	Avg	Mark	Value	Unrealized
1	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	95,934	0.354	0.001	$96	$-36,630 (-99.7%)

三、今日成交 / Today’s Trades (1)

Time	Market	Side	Pick	Price	USD
01:53	will-marine-le-pen-win-the-202	SELL	No	0.535	$77,555

今日平仓 (1)

Time	Market	Pick	In	Out	PnL
01:53	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French	No	0.529	0.535	$+851

四、全部平仓记录

Time	Market	Pick	In	Out	PnL
13:39	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	0.729	0.500	$-2,910
14:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets fro	No	0.830	0.342	$-7,141
14:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets fro	No	0.830	0.515	$-888
15:36	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannari	Adrian Mannarino	0.677	0.846	$+4,582
16:02	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Pea	No	0.707	0.599	$-2,807
16:42	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrett	Matteo Berrettini	0.354	0.030	$-2,546
21:35	China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiat	Iga Swiatek	0.386	0.324	$-2,840
22:22	Thunder vs. Hawks	Thunder	0.483	0.146	$-6,144
19:48	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO	Team Spirit	0.400	0.153	$-17,230
19:49	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO	Team Spirit	0.400	0.221	$-11,499
04:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade b	No	0.823	0.817	$-453
05:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade b	No	0.823	0.844	$+911
07:29	Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heism	No	0.448	0.413	$-84
07:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through	No	0.226	0.182	$-10,670
08:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates b	Yes	0.167	0.157	$-2,228
09:04	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D Hou	No	0.370	0.377	$+1,775
22:01	Will there be no change in Fed interes	No	0.172	0.133	$-13,009
22:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	0.850	0.830	$-470
04:02	Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4	Under	0.530	0.222	$-1,975
04:03	Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4	Under	0.530	0.161	$-12,665
04:04	Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4	Under	0.530	0.238	$-9,522
04:04	Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4	Under	0.530	0.288	$-5,535
07:39	Will the upper bound of the target fed	No	0.577	0.221	$-2,465
21:12	Will there be no change in Fed interes	No	0.222	0.142	$-7,240
21:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates b	Yes	0.215	0.119	$-8,952
02:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through	No	0.237	0.200	$-1,213
03:27	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 20	Yes	0.436	0.368	$-4,971
03:27	Will there be no change in Fed interes	No	0.312	0.287	$-619
04:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates b	Yes	0.320	0.281	$-1,386
06:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Pr	Yes	0.320	0.154	$-2,208
09:57	Will there be no change in Fed interes	No	0.284	0.244	$-1,637
15:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates b	Yes	0.239	0.250	$+1,363
17:37	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (	NIP	0.300	0.226	$-293
20:14	Will there be no change in Fed interes	No	0.260	0.250	$-148
04:00	Mallorca: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Rebe	Rebeka Masarova	0.474	0.382	$-745
04:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through	No	0.210	0.192	$-3,600
23:03	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	0.440	0.180	$-18,112
09:09	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Over	0.518	0.380	$-67
14:05	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D Hou	No	0.380	0.364	$-3,191
01:53	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French	No	0.529	0.535	$+851

五、每笔交易复盘 / Per-trade journal (how & why)

交易复盘暂不可用 / journal unavailable: `NameError: name ‘c0’ is not defined`

六、对抗门统计 / Adversarial gate (24h)

近 24h 无对抗门记录 / no gate activity in 24h.

七、moomoo demo 账户 / Demo Account (SIMULATE, 无真金)

指标	值
账户 / Account	1425224 (SIMULATE / demo)
总资产 / Total assets	$999,998.97
现金 / Cash	$999,986.84
持仓市值 / Market value	$12.13
持仓数 / Positions	1

代码	名称	数量	成本	现价	未实现盈亏
US.F	Ford Motor	1	12.174	12.133	$+0.00

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2026-10-21 08:56:45 JST · Polymarket demo — 无真金交易。