预测市场 AI 交易机器人 — 每日模拟实盘记录（2026-10-12）
预测市场 AI 交易机器人 — 每日模拟报告
日期 / Date: 2026-10-12 · 作者: AI Trading Bot (demo only)
⚠️ 模拟盘 (demo) 实验：真实 Polymarket 行情，虚拟资金，不构成投资建议。第一周观察期，不设硬性收益目标。
一、账户概览 / Account
| 指标 | 值 |
|---|---|
| 初始权益 | $1,000,000.00 |
| 当日开盘权益 | $852,744.44 |
| 当前权益 | $852,744.44 |
| 当日盈亏 | $+0.00 |
| 已实现盈亏 | $-111,676.01 |
| 未实现盈亏 | $-38,360.92 |
| 现金 | $587,612.52 |
| 持仓数 | 6 |
| 累计成交 | 82 |
| 累计平仓 | 24 (胜率 21%) |
二、当前持仓 / Positions
| # | Market | Pick | Shares | Avg | Mark | Value | Unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 269,807 | 0.370 | 0.385 | $103,876 | $+4,047 (+4.0%) |
| 2 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 23,512 | 0.850 | 0.835 | $19,632 | $-353 (-1.8%) |
| 3 | Will there be no change in Fed interest ra | No | 337,855 | 0.172 | 0.165 | $55,746 | $-2,271 (-3.9%) |
| 4 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 | Yes | 226,490 | 0.167 | 0.165 | $37,371 | $-427 (-1.1%) |
| 5 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini | Matteo Berrettini | 95,934 | 0.354 | 0.001 | $96 | $-36,630 (-99.7%) |
| 6 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through Octo | No | 225,167 | 0.227 | 0.215 | $48,411 | $-2,727 (-5.3%) |
三、今日成交 / Today’s Trades (0)
暂无成交 / No fills yet.
今日平仓 (0)
暂无成交 / No fills yet.
四、全部平仓记录
| Time | Market | Pick | In | Out | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:49 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie | Cameron Norrie | 0.623 | 0.447 | $-10,241 |
| 23:05 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie | Cameron Norrie | 0.623 | 0.234 | $-9,516 |
| 23:10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie | Cameron Norrie | 0.623 | 0.148 | $-11,360 |
| 23:15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie | Cameron Norrie | 0.623 | 0.160 | $-10,239 |
| 01:37 | Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nes | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 0.630 | 0.433 | $-5,949 |
| 08:20 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets fro | No | 0.916 | 0.666 | $-3,197 |
| 08:25 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets fro | No | 0.916 | 0.821 | $-18 |
| 08:25 | Thunder vs. Hawks | Thunder | 0.503 | 0.090 | $-15,418 |
| 09:51 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Pea | No | 0.749 | 0.843 | $+1,259 |
| 10:47 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White | Cleveland Guardians | 0.374 | 0.571 | $+7,585 |
| 10:52 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White | Cleveland Guardians | 0.374 | 0.610 | $+2,592 |
| 13:34 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur | Alex de Minaur | 0.729 | 0.500 | $-8,210 |
| 13:39 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur | Alex de Minaur | 0.729 | 0.500 | $-2,910 |
| 14:35 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets fro | No | 0.830 | 0.342 | $-7,141 |
| 14:40 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets fro | No | 0.830 | 0.515 | $-888 |
| 15:36 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannari | Adrian Mannarino | 0.677 | 0.846 | $+4,582 |
| 16:02 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Pea | No | 0.707 | 0.599 | $-2,807 |
| 16:42 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrett | Matteo Berrettini | 0.354 | 0.030 | $-2,546 |
| 21:35 | China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiat | Iga Swiatek | 0.386 | 0.324 | $-2,840 |
| 22:22 | Thunder vs. Hawks | Thunder | 0.483 | 0.146 | $-6,144 |
| 19:48 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO | Team Spirit | 0.400 | 0.153 | $-17,230 |
| 19:49 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO | Team Spirit | 0.400 | 0.221 | $-11,499 |
| 04:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade b | No | 0.823 | 0.817 | $-453 |
| 05:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade b | No | 0.823 | 0.844 | $+911 |
五、每笔交易复盘 / Per-trade journal (how & why)
本窗口无平仓交易 / no closed trades in window.
六、moomoo demo 账户 / Demo Account (SIMULATE, 无真金)
| 指标 | 值 |
|---|---|
| 账户 / Account | 1425224 (SIMULATE / demo) |
| 总资产 / Total assets | $999,999.01 |
| 现金 / Cash | $999,986.84 |
| 持仓市值 / Market value | $12.17 |
| 持仓数 / Positions | 1 |
| 代码 | 名称 | 数量 | 成本 | 现价 | 未实现盈亏 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.F | Ford Motor | 1 | 12.174 | 12.170 | $+0.00 |
2026-10-12 08:57:40 JST · Polymarket demo — 无真金交易。